Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 2.527813e-01 0.342091 0.446779 0.576566 0.731141 0.907410 1.121615
2026-01-18 1.310260e-01 0.231060 0.369013 0.563844 0.822558 1.145308 1.568961
2026-01-25 6.980649e-02 0.165383 0.321125 0.568956 0.929388 1.411563 2.081307
2026-02-01 3.234040e-02 0.111299 0.267034 0.546872 0.990059 1.620566 2.538969
2026-02-08 1.713489e-02 0.086474 0.249314 0.572484 1.118536 1.930670 3.153408
2026-02-15 7.523252e-03 0.063088 0.222766 0.574159 1.206592 2.187081 3.708265
2026-02-22 3.943570e-03 0.053481 0.221147 0.619313 1.368179 2.562101 4.451350
2026-03-01 1.651932e-03 0.043069 0.211905 0.646085 1.499377 2.897225 5.151192
2026-03-08 4.441204e-04 0.032337 0.194981 0.651640 1.591542 3.174593 5.775865
2026-03-15 4.090873e-05 0.022477 0.172988 0.639227 1.647127 3.394018 6.319976
2026-03-22 2.805642e-07 0.017060 0.162650 0.651313 1.748815 3.692731 6.995488
2026-03-29 NaN 0.012269 0.149863 0.653318 1.829435 3.958628 7.627809
2026-04-05 NaN 0.007459 0.129880 0.631004 1.860135 4.144765 8.148677
2026-04-12 NaN 0.004395 0.113834 0.614620 1.900650 4.349564 8.707145
2026-04-19 NaN 0.002814 0.105228 0.618603 1.985190 4.636079 9.407467
2026-04-26 NaN 0.001325 0.089962 0.594433 2.003122 4.802222 9.915130
2026-05-03 NaN 0.000938 0.088924 0.621216 2.140928 5.193863 10.807516
2026-05-10 NaN 0.000478 0.081915 0.622793 2.218798 5.476821 11.525561
2026-05-17 NaN 0.000411 0.086006 0.670499 2.411841 5.982998 12.631384
2026-05-24 NaN 0.000269 0.085475 0.698760 2.559027 6.406951 13.607224
2026-05-31 NaN 0.000116 0.080130 0.704603 2.650815 6.728266 14.415826
2026-06-07 NaN 0.000024 0.071373 0.691464 2.692976 6.955079 15.067713
2026-06-14 NaN 0.000006 0.068288 0.704235 2.802675 7.316459 15.958629